民主党「支持」V字回復 参院選「単独過半数も」?(J-CASTニュース)

 民主党が「支持」をV字回復させている。鳩山由紀夫・小沢一郎両氏のコンビが辞職を表明し、人事など菅直人新首相の「脱小沢」路線に期待が寄せられた形だ。2010年7月の参院選圧勝の読みまで出るほどだが、「回復」の勢いはいつまで続くのだろうか。

 2010年6月6日に投開票された横浜市議泉区補選(被選挙数1)は、民主党公認の麓理恵氏が、みんなの党公認と自民党公認の候補2人を破って初当選した。麓陣営からは、厳しい選挙だったが鳩山首相らの辞職で流れが変わったと指摘する声が少なからず聞かれた。鳩山氏の退陣表明は6月2日だった。

■世論調査で民主が自民を「再逆転」

 菅新首相を国会が指名した6月4日から各社が行った世論調査では、軒並み民主が「支持」を伸ばしている。共同通信の5月末の調査では、政党支持率でも参院選比例での投票先でも自民が民主を「逆転」していたが、今回調査では民主が「再逆転」した。「投票先」をみると、民主が32.6%と前回比12.7ポイント増と2ケタの伸びを見せた。自民は23.4%で2.5ポイント増に留まった。

 6月6日付の毎日新聞朝刊によると、「投票先」は民主34%、自民17%とダブルスコアに開いた。鳩山退陣表明前の5月末の調査では、民主22%、自民21%とほぼ横並びだったにも関わらず、だ。「菅首相が『脱小沢』路線を鮮明にしたことが民主党に対する期待感を回復させた」と分析している。6日付の朝日新聞でも、「投票先」は、民主33%、自民17%とダブルスコアに近くなった。5月末の調査では、民主と自民は20%で並んでいた。

 こうした傾向は「投票先」だけではない。NNN(日本テレビ系ネット)の世論調査では、政党支持率で民主党35.7%、自民党22.1%と、5月調査と比べ民主が自民を「再び逆転」した。また、単純比較はできないが、菅新首相の支持率は62.4%で、約20%にまで落ち込んでいた鳩山内閣の支持率から「一気にV字回復した結果となった」。

 そんな中、週刊朝日の最新号(6月18日号)は、「参院民主単独過半数か」との見出しで、緊急議席予測の記事を載せた。民主の改選議席数は54だが、一時は党内に「40議席を割り込み大敗するのでは」との憶測が広がっていた。同誌記事で今回、政治ジャーナリストの野上忠興さんは、民主の予測獲得議席数を「54」とした。前回(5月21日号)は民主47議席、としていたが、鳩山・小沢両氏の辞職で「追い風とはいかないまでも、『微風』を呼び込むことに成功した」と分析している。さらに、「予測した54をさらに上回り、60議席以上を獲得して単独過半数を取る可能性もある」とみているという。

■民主陣営は「まだ支持率は上がる」と期待

 市議補選を終えたばかりの民主党神奈川県連関係者にきくと、鳩山退陣の話が出るまでは「みんなの党候補と五分五分の状勢」と見ていた。結果的に約3500票の差をつけて勝ったが、「票差の半分は鳩山・小沢辞職の風のおかげ」と分析した。

 また、今回の参院選改選組で関東地区のある選挙区候補予定者の選対幹部は、各種世論調査の「支持」の伸びと横浜市議補選の勝利を「勢いがついた」と大歓迎している。やはり菅新首相効果のお陰だと見ている。「普天間移設問題を巡る鳩山氏のウソと小沢氏のカネには厳しい声が寄せられ、これを抱えたままでは当選できない、と密かに思っていた」。しかし空気が一変したと感じている。

 6月8日に菅新内閣が誕生するが、「支持率はまだまだ上がる。急激ではないがじわじわと」と見ており、7月25日投開票説が有力視される参院選挙まで「この勢いはもつ」と鼻息が荒い。

 一方で、野上さんとともに週刊朝日で議席予測をした、政治評論家の森田実さんは民主34議席(前回35)と厳しい見方だ。菅新首相の非小沢色の傾向が小沢氏側の反発を呼び「分裂選挙に陥る可能性も否定できません」と同誌で指摘している。脱小沢色が吉と出るのか凶と出るのか、見方は分かれているようだ。


■関連記事
「相談して決めること多い」 菅代表歯切れの悪い記者会見 : 2010/06/04
次期首相有力の菅副総理 「イラ菅」へ戻る?「無心の境地」? : 2010/06/03
鳩山首相の「聞く耳」発言 「上から目線」とブーイング : 2010/06/03
さあ、500万人が夜逃げする 6・18貸金業法、総量規制強制導入 : 2010/05/24
20代が抱く会社への不満「給料安すぎ」「休み少ない」 : 2010/06/03

敏いとう、菅内閣頼りない(スポーツ報知)
誤射か、撃たれ2人死亡=鳥獣駆除中の山で―京都(時事通信)
回転ずし店に車突っ込む=客14人重軽傷―大津(時事通信)
石原都知事 「菅首相、役人うまく使って」(毎日新聞)
FM最長寿番組「ジェットストリーム」 JALが「1社単独提供」断念(J-CASTニュース)
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They have a huge potential to predict the best cryptocurrency to invest in 2021 and the best time to invest in the right digital currency using their experienced experts that have worked in wall street for several years, a huge Cryptocurrency supporter believe it’ll still become profitable but the best time to invest in bitcoin seems difficult to tell in many people as bitcoin just recently dipped without any signs but a wide range of Bitcoin investment merchants, increasing its worth.

Venmo recently declared it might begin accepting cryptocurrency as a variety of payment, and its parent company, PayPal Holdings, additionally accepts crypto. Additionally, firms like Tesla and sq. have created important investments in Bitcoin, additional legitimizing cryptocurrencies.

With additional and additional giant firms on older boards with cryptocurrency, finance might be a wise thanks to get in on the bottom level, therefore to talk.

By finance currently, you’ll doubtless build heaps of cash as cryptocurrencies become additional widely accepted. As an example, 5 years ago, in April 2016, Bitcoin price simply over $400 for one coin. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at over $54,000 per coin. If the worth of Bitcoin continues to skyrocket, finance currently might place you on the trail to turning into wealthy.

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How To Earn Bitcoin Fast:

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Here is our list of the ten Best Bitcoin and Crypto websites.

https://bitdouble.net Reviews

As we have a tendency to mention on top of the list of best bitcoin investment websites in 2021 https://bitdouble.net is out and away the foremost widespread and reliable bitcoin digital investment website to earn profit in 2021 as a result of investing directly with USD. You’ll purchase Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin and 30+ alternative coins and tokens for the platform. What is more, you’ll earn interest on all deposited cryptocurrency, and you’ll earn good rewards by investing in their plan.

Coinbase

Coinbase may be a cryptocurrency investment platform that permits you to lend and earn interest on your holdings. Also, rather than commerce your coins and tokens, you’ll conjointly borrow against your holdings. If you are simply trying to carry your tokens, you’ll conjointly simply allow them to earn interest for you.

Kraken

Kraken is one amongst the initial crypto commercialism platforms and that they have an honest choice of coins and tokens to trade and invest in. They conjointly enable margin commercialism. However, it is a real exchange, and not as straightforward to use as a number of the highest platforms on this list. Kraken is one amongst the few platforms on this list that enable you to exchange justice and alternative, more risky, tokens.

Robinhood

Robinhood offers free crypto trades on their platform. they’re beginning in only many states, and with simply Bitcoin and Ethereum, however they set up on increasing this quickly. There are limitations, however it’s free!

eToro

eToro has been around for a moment within Great Britain and throughout Europe, however, they’re currently permitting traders within the us. they provide an enormous kind of digital assets to shop for and sell on their platform, and even higher, they need an observer commercialism account therefore you’ll provide it a boost before you really use real funds.

Blockchain

Blockchain is one amongst the most important and quickest growing crypto exchanges. It’s primarily based in the city, however offers a large amount of support for US-based customers. Right now, you’ll have access to over ninety tokens and coins worldwide, and fifty tokens and coins if you are within the us. Plus, they supply solid rates on their Blockchain savings accounts. The solely major downside is that it’s only app-based at this point, there’s no desktop platform.

Binance

A great platform for entering into some currencies like Cardano or modern. Not as straightforward to use as a number of the highest platforms on this list, however they do have one amongst the foremost sturdy commercialism platforms out there. they do have an honest mobile app, but again, not as straightforward to use and we’ve been pissed off with it. Strive Binance here.

Using https://bitdouble.net gives you a true way to multiply your bitcoins instantly,” the website states that it’s the “first legitimate bitcoin doubler” and payouts are guaranteed.
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